Containing North Korea with sticks and carrots
seventy and six percent of Americans are seriously concerned about a major military conflict with North Korea, and well it should be (“sea conflict, North Korea, Muslim militants ahead of ASEAN meetings,” August 4 ).
There are more good solutions in North Korea of the United States or its allies. North Korea has more than 100 nuclear ICBM capable of targeting our allies and US forces in South Korea, Japan, the Philippines and probably in the continental United States. This existential threat and blackmail are intolerable required if the United States should remain a free country.
There are three options: negotiations (which have failed for more than 20 years and three presidencies due to lies and bad faith in North Korea despite the incentives of US $ 1 billion); (Although the murderous dictator of North Korea is very different from the Soviet dictators of the Cold War who responded to this strategy); And the military action of our very superior army (but no longer capable of a knockout attack that prevents revenge on an unimaginable scale).
Of course, there are combinations of these three. To make a difficult situation even worse, we need a strategic and credible world leader in the State Department and the White House, where we now have another way.
China and North Korea should be persuaded by garrote and carrot that their interests can be served by the uninstallation of the Korean peninsula.
This means, for example, that China’s fears about North Korea’s impact of regime change (and the possible flow of refugees across the border) and fears of a US (and nuclear) military presence in Their border will be reduced if they cooperate with a strict strictly economic North Korea until there are negotiations in good faith.
The stick is the alternative reality that China is surrounded by nuclear countries (South Korea, Japan and the United States) with high probability of being dragged into a nuclear war at its gate that can not be used for North Korea and create massive instability in china .